Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local services indicate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Recent extended outlooks show daytime maxima near 35–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with possible afternoon showers reducing solar insolation and preventing spikes above 37°C. Historical August baselines average around 32°C highs, but current patterns align with slightly elevated readings due to regional warmth; the narrow spread between 34–37°C outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and urban heat effects captured in ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日深圳气温最高?
36°C 29%
34℃ 18%
37°C 17%
35°C 17%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34℃
18%
35°C
17%
36°C
29%
37°C
17%
38°C
13%
39°C
4%
40°C或更高
<1%
36°C 29%
34℃ 18%
37°C 17%
35°C 17%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34℃
18%
35°C
17%
36°C
29%
37°C
17%
38°C
13%
39°C
4%
40°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local services indicate Shenzhen's peak temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Recent extended outlooks show daytime maxima near 35–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with possible afternoon showers reducing solar insolation and preventing spikes above 37°C. Historical August baselines average around 32°C highs, but current patterns align with slightly elevated readings due to regional warmth; the narrow spread between 34–37°C outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and urban heat effects captured in ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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