Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to daytime maxima near 35–37°C on August 8, with model runs showing modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80%, and steering winds ahead of any tropical systems. An emerging El Niño pattern supports above-average regional temperatures, yet local factors such as sea-breeze moderation and afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty around peak values. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current trader positioning around 36–37°C reflects the latest guidance favoring slightly warmer conditions without strong consensus on exact thresholds. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any typhoon track adjustments expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日深圳气温最高?
36°C 33%
35°C 28%
37°C 27%
34°C 11%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
28%
36°C
33%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
36°C 33%
35°C 28%
37°C 27%
34°C 11%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
28%
36°C
33%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to daytime maxima near 35–37°C on August 8, with model runs showing modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80%, and steering winds ahead of any tropical systems. An emerging El Niño pattern supports above-average regional temperatures, yet local factors such as sea-breeze moderation and afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty around peak values. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, so current trader positioning around 36–37°C reflects the latest guidance favoring slightly warmer conditions without strong consensus on exact thresholds. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any typhoon track adjustments expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题