**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 8 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for above-average overnight lows amid typical late-summer conditions.** Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and persistent high humidity that limit radiative cooling, keeping nighttime temperatures elevated compared to the 23.9°C climatological normal. Urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure further suppress drops below 25°C. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as wind speed, cloud thickness, and any late-arriving sea breeze, which ensemble models still show with notable spread just 48 hours out. No major typhoon or frontal systems are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日东京气温最低?
27°C 46%
26°C 43%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
43%
27°C
46%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 46%
26°C 43%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
43%
27°C
46%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 8 minimum temperature centers on 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for above-average overnight lows amid typical late-summer conditions.** Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended-range forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and persistent high humidity that limit radiative cooling, keeping nighttime temperatures elevated compared to the 23.9°C climatological normal. Urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure further suppress drops below 25°C. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as wind speed, cloud thickness, and any late-arriving sea breeze, which ensemble models still show with notable spread just 48 hours out. No major typhoon or frontal systems are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题