Recent model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to peak daytime temperatures in Karachi hovering near 33–34°C on August 8, with market-implied odds of 43.5% for 34°C and 37.5% for 33°C reflecting traders’ weighting of modest uncertainty. Persistent monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze effects are moderating maximums below seasonal norms of around 32–33°C, while any reduction in convective activity could allow brief warming toward 35°C. Historical August variability and the short two-day forecast horizon amplify sensitivity to the next PMD and global model updates, keeping probabilities tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日卡拉奇的最高温度?
34°C 44%
33°C 38%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
44%
35°C
11%
36℃
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 38%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
44%
35°C
11%
36℃
2%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to peak daytime temperatures in Karachi hovering near 33–34°C on August 8, with market-implied odds of 43.5% for 34°C and 37.5% for 33°C reflecting traders’ weighting of modest uncertainty. Persistent monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze effects are moderating maximums below seasonal norms of around 32–33°C, while any reduction in convective activity could allow brief warming toward 35°C. Historical August variability and the short two-day forecast horizon amplify sensitivity to the next PMD and global model updates, keeping probabilities tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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