Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日香港最低气温？
8月8日香港最低气温？
28°C 71%
27°C 14%
29°C 11%
26°C 3%
最新
$32,795 交易量
最新
$32,795 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
71%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 71%
27°C 14%
29°C 11%
26°C 3%
最新
$32,795 交易量
最新
$32,795 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
$598 交易量
<1%
23°C
$613 交易量
<1%
24°C
$683 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,955 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,390 交易量
3%
27°C
$4,844 交易量
14%
28°C
$11,041 交易量
71%
29°C
$6,980 交易量
11%
30°C
$3,112 交易量
<1%
31°C
$938 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$641 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,795结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,795结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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