**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日香港气温最高？
8月8日香港气温最高？
35°C 43%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
最新
$24,311 交易量
最新
$24,311 交易量
2026-08-08
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
43%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
37°C 8%
最新
$24,311 交易量
最新
$24,311 交易量
2026-08-08
31°C or below
$1,144 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,277 交易量
1%
33°C
$3,651 交易量
4%
34°C
$2,553 交易量
25%
35°C
$3,386 交易量
43%
36°C
$2,949 交易量
21%
37°C
$3,968 交易量
8%
38°C
$1,592 交易量
1%
39°C
$1,320 交易量
<1%
40°C
$935 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.**
Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability.
Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$24,311结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.**
Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability.
Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,311结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, centers on the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 28–35°C, positioning 35°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Recent HKO guidance for Saturday highlights generally fine to cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting a peak near the upper end of the range amid seasonal warming trends that have kept August temperatures normal to above normal. Comparable recent maxima (33–34°C on August 5–6) and the absence of significant cooling influences like heavy rain or stronger monsoon flows reinforce trader focus on 34–36°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology—average highs around 31°C with frequent peaks near 33–35°C under similar setups—further align with this clustering, though minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban recording stations could still shift the final value within the narrow 34–36°C band before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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