Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日马德里气温最高？
8月8日马德里气温最高？
38°C 48%
37°C 28%
39°C 21%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
28%
38°C
48%
39°C
21%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
38°C 48%
37°C 28%
39°C 21%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
35°C
$30 交易量
2%
36°C
$146 交易量
5%
37°C
$387 交易量
28%
38°C
$316 交易量
48%
39°C
$544 交易量
21%
40°C
$86 交易量
3%
41°C
$61 交易量
2%
42°C
$111 交易量
<1%
43°C
$89 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$89 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,575结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,575结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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