Current forecast guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicates a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 7, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection and cloud cover typically suppress peak readings, while an upper-level anticyclone has maintained recent daytime highs near 25–27 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 23–25 °C outcomes because these align with climatological averages and the latest short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected or if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official bulletins issued in the next 24 hours will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日墨西哥城气温最高?
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 7%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
2%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 7%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicates a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 7, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convection and cloud cover typically suppress peak readings, while an upper-level anticyclone has maintained recent daytime highs near 25–27 °C. Traders have concentrated probability on 23–25 °C outcomes because these align with climatological averages and the latest short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected or if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official bulletins issued in the next 24 hours will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题