Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a high near 23°C for Cape Town on August 8, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C amid typical winter variability in the region's Mediterranean climate. Primary factors include a passing cold front expected to moderate daytime maxima through increased cloud cover, southerly winds, and possible light showers, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and orographic effects from Table Mountain, while historical August averages hover near 17°C. Upcoming SAWS updates and refined high-resolution runs will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日开普敦气温最高?
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
16°C 22%
19°C 14%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
35%
18°C
37%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
16°C 22%
19°C 14%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
35%
18°C
37%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a high near 23°C for Cape Town on August 8, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C amid typical winter variability in the region's Mediterranean climate. Primary factors include a passing cold front expected to moderate daytime maxima through increased cloud cover, southerly winds, and possible light showers, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and orographic effects from Table Mountain, while historical August averages hover near 17°C. Upcoming SAWS updates and refined high-resolution runs will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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