Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
最新
$13,055 交易量
最新
$13,055 交易量
2026-08-08
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
17%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
最新
$13,055 交易量
最新
$13,055 交易量
2026-08-08
25°C or below
$540 交易量
<1%
26°C
$350 交易量
1%
27°C
$525 交易量
2%
28°C
$553 交易量
6%
29°C
$4,113 交易量
33%
30°C
$1,265 交易量
39%
31°C
$1,630 交易量
17%
32°C
$1,292 交易量
6%
33°C
$312 交易量
1%
34°C
$498 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$1,979 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$13,055结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,055结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETForecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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