Latest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
46%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
8°C or below
$206 交易量
<1%
9°C
$182 交易量
<1%
10°C
$63 交易量
<1%
11°C
$98 交易量
<1%
12°C
$182 交易量
3%
13°C
$762 交易量
24%
14°C
$781 交易量
46%
15°C
$323 交易量
14%
16°C
$166 交易量
3%
17°C
$191 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$161 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,115结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,115结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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