Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning precisely with the market’s sole outcome. This reading reflects typical mid-winter conditions under a stable high-pressure system that suppressed warmer air advection from the north, keeping afternoon temperatures well below seasonal averages near 18–20°C. Forecast models from the day prior had already converged on this range, and post-event verification showed no revisions or station discrepancies. While sensor calibration issues or localized microclimate anomalies could theoretically prompt a re-evaluation, such events are exceedingly rare once data are finalized and published.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,896 交易量
$47,896 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,896 交易量
$47,896 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning precisely with the market’s sole outcome. This reading reflects typical mid-winter conditions under a stable high-pressure system that suppressed warmer air advection from the north, keeping afternoon temperatures well below seasonal averages near 18–20°C. Forecast models from the day prior had already converged on this range, and post-event verification showed no revisions or station discrepancies. While sensor calibration issues or localized microclimate anomalies could theoretically prompt a re-evaluation, such events are exceedingly rare once data are finalized and published.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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