Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies, position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 5. Typical August highs average 15–17°C based on long-term climatology, with limited variability from passing high-pressure systems and modest southerly flow suppressing stronger warming. Recent model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures in the 15–17°C range, with minimal risk of extremes due to stable atmospheric patterns and no significant frontal passages expected. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 16°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
16°C 59%
15°C 26%
17°C 17%
14°C <1%
$19,135 交易量
$19,135 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
59%
17°C
17%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 26%
17°C 17%
14°C <1%
$19,135 交易量
$19,135 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
59%
17°C
17%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies, position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 5. Typical August highs average 15–17°C based on long-term climatology, with limited variability from passing high-pressure systems and modest southerly flow suppressing stronger warming. Recent model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures in the 15–17°C range, with minimal risk of extremes due to stable atmospheric patterns and no significant frontal passages expected. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 16°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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