Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 8 indicate a high near 97–99 °F under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward the 98–99 °F bin. August climatology places typical daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s, with only modest day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, supporting the modest probability assigned to 100–101 °F and the minimal odds for outcomes below 96 °F or above 101 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final verification inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月8日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99华氏度 56%
96-97华氏度 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97华氏度
29%
98-99华氏度
56%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
98-99华氏度 56%
96-97华氏度 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
87°F或以下
$201 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$162 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$8 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$27 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$150 交易量
5%
96-97华氏度
$254 交易量
29%
98-99华氏度
$750 交易量
56%
100-101°F
$30 交易量
14%
102-103°F
$124 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
<1%
106°F或更高
$70 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 8 indicate a high near 97–99 °F under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward the 98–99 °F bin. August climatology places typical daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s, with only modest day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, supporting the modest probability assigned to 100–101 °F and the minimal odds for outcomes below 96 °F or above 101 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final verification inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,782结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 8 indicate a high near 97–99 °F under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward the 98–99 °F bin. August climatology places typical daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s, with only modest day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, supporting the modest probability assigned to 100–101 °F and the minimal odds for outcomes below 96 °F or above 101 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final verification inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,782结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 8 indicate a high near 97–99 °F under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward the 98–99 °F bin. August climatology places typical daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s, with only modest day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, supporting the modest probability assigned to 100–101 °F and the minimal odds for outcomes below 96 °F or above 101 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final verification inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题