**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日丹佛气温最高?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6.1%
$29,375 交易量
$29,375 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6.1%
$29,375 交易量
$29,375 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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