Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日芝加哥气温最高？
8月5日芝加哥气温最高？
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
最新
$25,727 交易量
最新
$25,727 交易量
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
最新
$25,727 交易量
最新
$25,727 交易量
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
$7,350 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,736 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$2,161 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$3,839 交易量
36%
82-83°F
$1,616 交易量
23%
84-85°F
$3,791 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$1,832 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$903 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$547 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$524 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$483 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$25,727结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,727结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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