**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日广州气温最高？
8月8日广州气温最高？
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
28%
38°C
36%
39°C
20%
40°C
6%
41℃或更高
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
31°C或以下
$477 交易量
<1%
32°C
$177 交易量
1%
33°C
$5 交易量
1%
34°C
$46 交易量
2%
35°C
$99 交易量
3%
36°C
$83 交易量
15%
37°C
$85 交易量
28%
38°C
$305 交易量
36%
39°C
$189 交易量
20%
40°C
$87 交易量
6%
41℃或更高
$1,200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,753结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,753结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 37–38°C as the most probable peak temperature for Guangzhou on August 8, reflecting model agreement on subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cooling from monsoon moisture.** Recent observations show daytime maxima fluctuating between 29–36°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with AccuWeather and local guidance indicating a warming trend into the upper 30s under clearer skies. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could allow greater solar heating versus enhanced convection or typhoon-related outflow, which would cap temperatures near 36–37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify perceived extremes, while ensemble spreads in short-range models create the narrow probability gaps between adjacent thresholds. Updated CMA and numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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