Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a likely daily maximum of 33–35°C in Chengdu on August 9, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and the heat-trapping topography of the Sichuan basin. High humidity and scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks below 36°C while preventing sharp drops, creating tight probabilities across 33–36°C outcomes. Current conditions near 33°C and ensemble spread on cloud cover or timing of any showers explain the balanced market-implied odds, with traders weighting model agreement against historical August variability in the region. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日成都气温最高？
8月9日成都气温最高？
34°C 24%
35°C 21%
32°C 19%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
13%
33°C
16%
34°C
24%
35°C
16%
36°C
17%
37°C或更高
16%
34°C 24%
35°C 21%
32°C 19%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
$23 交易量
2%
28°C
$18 交易量
4%
29°C
$10 交易量
4%
30°C
$20 交易量
4%
31°C
$56 交易量
10%
32°C
$11 交易量
13%
33°C
$14 交易量
16%
34°C
$3 交易量
24%
35°C
$5 交易量
16%
36°C
$30 交易量
17%
37°C或更高
$190 交易量
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a likely daily maximum of 33–35°C in Chengdu on August 9, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and the heat-trapping topography of the Sichuan basin. High humidity and scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks below 36°C while preventing sharp drops, creating tight probabilities across 33–36°C outcomes. Current conditions near 33°C and ensemble spread on cloud cover or timing of any showers explain the balanced market-implied odds, with traders weighting model agreement against historical August variability in the region. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$380结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a likely daily maximum of 33–35°C in Chengdu on August 9, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and the heat-trapping topography of the Sichuan basin. High humidity and scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks below 36°C while preventing sharp drops, creating tight probabilities across 33–36°C outcomes. Current conditions near 33°C and ensemble spread on cloud cover or timing of any showers explain the balanced market-implied odds, with traders weighting model agreement against historical August variability in the region. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$380结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a likely daily maximum of 33–35°C in Chengdu on August 9, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and the heat-trapping topography of the Sichuan basin. High humidity and scattered afternoon convection could cap peaks below 36°C while preventing sharp drops, creating tight probabilities across 33–36°C outcomes. Current conditions near 33°C and ensemble spread on cloud cover or timing of any showers explain the balanced market-implied odds, with traders weighting model agreement against historical August variability in the region. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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