Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日成都气温最高？
8月8日成都气温最高？
33°C 35%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
15%
33°C
35%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C或更高
5%
33°C 35%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
$637 交易量
<1%
27°C
$148 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5 交易量
3%
29°C
$175 交易量
5%
30°C
$112 交易量
6%
31°C
$82 交易量
13%
32°C
$114 交易量
15%
33°C
$515 交易量
35%
34°C
$117 交易量
18%
35°C
$81 交易量
10%
36°C或更高
$113 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,099结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,099结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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