Recent meteorological guidance from Brazilian agencies points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 6 most likely reaching 27°C, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with daytime highs averaging near 24°C but elevated by a current warm spell. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while two approaching cold fronts introduce uncertainty that could cap readings near 26°C or allow brief spikes to 28–29°C if advection strengthens. Historical climatology and INMET outlooks reinforce this narrow range, with trader-implied odds aligning closely to ensemble means rather than extremes. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月6日圣保罗的最高温度？
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
$218 交易量
<1%
22°C
$213 交易量
1%
23°C
$78 交易量
<1%
24°C
$100 交易量
<1%
25°C
$241 交易量
4%
26°C
$438 交易量
18%
27°C
$3,584 交易量
39%
28°C
$277 交易量
24%
29°C
$492 交易量
13%
30°C
$695 交易量
4%
31°C or higher
$84 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from Brazilian agencies points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 6 most likely reaching 27°C, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with daytime highs averaging near 24°C but elevated by a current warm spell. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while two approaching cold fronts introduce uncertainty that could cap readings near 26°C or allow brief spikes to 28–29°C if advection strengthens. Historical climatology and INMET outlooks reinforce this narrow range, with trader-implied odds aligning closely to ensemble means rather than extremes. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$6,420结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from Brazilian agencies points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 6 most likely reaching 27°C, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with daytime highs averaging near 24°C but elevated by a current warm spell. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while two approaching cold fronts introduce uncertainty that could cap readings near 26°C or allow brief spikes to 28–29°C if advection strengthens. Historical climatology and INMET outlooks reinforce this narrow range, with trader-implied odds aligning closely to ensemble means rather than extremes. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,420结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent meteorological guidance from Brazilian agencies points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 6 most likely reaching 27°C, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with daytime highs averaging near 24°C but elevated by a current warm spell. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while two approaching cold fronts introduce uncertainty that could cap readings near 26°C or allow brief spikes to 28–29°C if advection strengthens. Historical climatology and INMET outlooks reinforce this narrow range, with trader-implied odds aligning closely to ensemble means rather than extremes. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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