Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日巴黎气温最高？
8月10日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 37%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
30°C or below
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
37%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
30°C or below
$40 交易量
4%
31°C
$37 交易量
18%
32°C
$29 交易量
37%
33°C
$6 交易量
30%
34°C
$2 交易量
12%
35°C
$51 交易量
5%
36°C
$17 交易量
2%
37°C
$66 交易量
<1%
38°C
$120 交易量
<1%
39°C
$469 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$469 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$1,307结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,307结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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