Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 10 high near 32–34°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with sea breezes moderating coastal maxima. This aligns with the long-term August average of 32°C and explains why 34°C leads at 50% implied probability while 33°C and 35°C trail. No significant heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern has emerged in latest runs to shift the distribution higher, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to steering flow or humidity will be key near-term catalysts for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日特拉维夫最高气温?
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 10 high near 32–34°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with sea breezes moderating coastal maxima. This aligns with the long-term August average of 32°C and explains why 34°C leads at 50% implied probability while 33°C and 35°C trail. No significant heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern has emerged in latest runs to shift the distribution higher, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to steering flow or humidity will be key near-term catalysts for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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