Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models, including those informing AccuWeather and Met Office guidance, positions Moscow’s August 10 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting on these bins at 43% and 31.5%. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology of 22–24°C daytime highs while subtle ensemble spreads in cloud cover, advection, and boundary-layer mixing account for the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Recent model runs show limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, though minor uncertainty persists around exact peak timing and observational verification at official stations. Traders are incorporating these data shifts against historical baselines as the short-term window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日莫斯科最高气温？
8月10日莫斯科最高气温？
24°C 43%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
43%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 43%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
20°C或以下
$42 交易量
1%
21°C
$51 交易量
1%
22°C
$68 交易量
5%
23°C
$169 交易量
20%
24°C
$80 交易量
43%
25°C
$136 交易量
32%
26°C
$61 交易量
5%
27°C
$51 交易量
1%
28°C
$42 交易量
1%
29°C
$55 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$142 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models, including those informing AccuWeather and Met Office guidance, positions Moscow’s August 10 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting on these bins at 43% and 31.5%. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology of 22–24°C daytime highs while subtle ensemble spreads in cloud cover, advection, and boundary-layer mixing account for the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Recent model runs show limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, though minor uncertainty persists around exact peak timing and observational verification at official stations. Traders are incorporating these data shifts against historical baselines as the short-term window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$897结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models, including those informing AccuWeather and Met Office guidance, positions Moscow’s August 10 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting on these bins at 43% and 31.5%. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology of 22–24°C daytime highs while subtle ensemble spreads in cloud cover, advection, and boundary-layer mixing account for the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Recent model runs show limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, though minor uncertainty persists around exact peak timing and observational verification at official stations. Traders are incorporating these data shifts against historical baselines as the short-term window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$897结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models, including those informing AccuWeather and Met Office guidance, positions Moscow’s August 10 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting on these bins at 43% and 31.5%. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology of 22–24°C daytime highs while subtle ensemble spreads in cloud cover, advection, and boundary-layer mixing account for the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Recent model runs show limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, though minor uncertainty persists around exact peak timing and observational verification at official stations. Traders are incorporating these data shifts against historical baselines as the short-term window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题