Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid will experience clear, anticyclonic conditions on August 10 with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 36–37 °C. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation under dry summer air masses support these values, consistent with the city’s typical August climatology of 33–34 °C averages but elevated by the current warm spell. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling through the weekend, keeping 38 °C or higher a lower-probability outcome unless an unexpected ridge strengthens. Traders appear to weight the latest short-range runs most heavily, aligning market-implied odds closely with the central forecast envelope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日马德里气温最高？
8月10日马德里气温最高？
37°C 43%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
29%
37°C
43%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
37°C 43%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C或以下
$77 交易量
<1%
32°C
$34 交易量
<1%
33°C
$10 交易量
2%
34°C
$10 交易量
2%
35°C
$149 交易量
7%
36°C
$909 交易量
29%
37°C
$1,693 交易量
43%
38°C
$455 交易量
16%
39°C
$112 交易量
4%
40°C
$249 交易量
1%
41°C或更高
$26 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid will experience clear, anticyclonic conditions on August 10 with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 36–37 °C. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation under dry summer air masses support these values, consistent with the city’s typical August climatology of 33–34 °C averages but elevated by the current warm spell. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling through the weekend, keeping 38 °C or higher a lower-probability outcome unless an unexpected ridge strengthens. Traders appear to weight the latest short-range runs most heavily, aligning market-implied odds closely with the central forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,723结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid will experience clear, anticyclonic conditions on August 10 with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 36–37 °C. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation under dry summer air masses support these values, consistent with the city’s typical August climatology of 33–34 °C averages but elevated by the current warm spell. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling through the weekend, keeping 38 °C or higher a lower-probability outcome unless an unexpected ridge strengthens. Traders appear to weight the latest short-range runs most heavily, aligning market-implied odds closely with the central forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,723结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid will experience clear, anticyclonic conditions on August 10 with maximum temperatures most likely peaking at 36–37 °C. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation under dry summer air masses support these values, consistent with the city’s typical August climatology of 33–34 °C averages but elevated by the current warm spell. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day cooling through the weekend, keeping 38 °C or higher a lower-probability outcome unless an unexpected ridge strengthens. Traders appear to weight the latest short-range runs most heavily, aligning market-implied odds closely with the central forecast envelope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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