Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日巴黎气温最高？
8月9日巴黎气温最高？
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
35°C 16%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
16%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
35°C 16%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
$354 交易量
1%
29°C
$12 交易量
1%
30°C
$12 交易量
2%
31°C
$65 交易量
6%
32°C
$10 交易量
15%
33°C
$45 交易量
28%
34°C
$113 交易量
32%
35°C
$0 交易量
16%
36°C
$25 交易量
2%
37°C
$19 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$25 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$681结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$681结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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