Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日香港最低气温？
8月11日香港最低气温？
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
14%
29°C
47%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
24°C或以下
$34 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
11%
28°C
$31 交易量
14%
29°C
$15 交易量
47%
30°C
$89 交易量
28%
31°C
$0 交易量
6%
32°C
$49 交易量
1%
33°C
$5 交易量
1%
34°C或以上
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$363结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$363结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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