Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global models converge on daytime maxima of 34–36 °C for 10 August, with the slight market tilt toward 35 °C reflecting ensemble means near 35.5 °C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Subtropical ridge influence and urban heat-island effects support readings above the 31–32 °C August climatology, while scattered showers or northeasterly flow could cap peaks at 34 °C or allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Model spread remains modest two days out, but small shifts in steering winds or convective timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping 34 °C and 35 °C nearly tied in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日香港气温最高?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
$12,428 交易量
$12,428 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
$12,428 交易量
$12,428 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global models converge on daytime maxima of 34–36 °C for 10 August, with the slight market tilt toward 35 °C reflecting ensemble means near 35.5 °C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Subtropical ridge influence and urban heat-island effects support readings above the 31–32 °C August climatology, while scattered showers or northeasterly flow could cap peaks at 34 °C or allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Model spread remains modest two days out, but small shifts in steering winds or convective timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping 34 °C and 35 °C nearly tied in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题