Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical August highs near 32–34°C in Shenzhen amid its subtropical monsoon climate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to model variability in daytime radiative heating and moisture advection. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with urban heat island effects can elevate actual maxima, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the region—may cap temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. With the market split between 35°C and 36°C, key differentiators include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and short-range ensemble spreads on August 11 stability; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日深圳气温最高？
8月11日深圳气温最高？
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
19%
35°C
31%
36°C
34%
37°C
16%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
29°C or below
$12 交易量
<1%
30°C
$12 交易量
1%
31°C
$10 交易量
3%
32°C
$10 交易量
6%
33°C
$0 交易量
10%
34°C
$0 交易量
19%
35°C
$11 交易量
31%
36°C
$82 交易量
34%
37°C
$2 交易量
16%
38°C
$155 交易量
5%
39°C or higher
$524 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical August highs near 32–34°C in Shenzhen amid its subtropical monsoon climate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to model variability in daytime radiative heating and moisture advection. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with urban heat island effects can elevate actual maxima, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the region—may cap temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. With the market split between 35°C and 36°C, key differentiators include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and short-range ensemble spreads on August 11 stability; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$818结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical August highs near 32–34°C in Shenzhen amid its subtropical monsoon climate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to model variability in daytime radiative heating and moisture advection. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with urban heat island effects can elevate actual maxima, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the region—may cap temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. With the market split between 35°C and 36°C, key differentiators include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and short-range ensemble spreads on August 11 stability; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$818结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical August highs near 32–34°C in Shenzhen amid its subtropical monsoon climate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to model variability in daytime radiative heating and moisture advection. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with urban heat island effects can elevate actual maxima, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the region—may cap temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. With the market split between 35°C and 36°C, key differentiators include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and short-range ensemble spreads on August 11 stability; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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