Recent forecast updates from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to afternoon highs of 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 10 under subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited steering flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show a narrow range around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where peaks often reach the mid-30s amid urban heat-island effects and weak monsoon influences. Market-implied odds reflect genuine model uncertainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or localized convection could tip the official maximum between adjacent brackets. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日深圳气温最高？
8月10日深圳气温最高？
36°C 38%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
38%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C或更高
1%
36°C 38%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
29°C或以下
$238 交易量
<1%
30°C
$228 交易量
1%
31°C
$159 交易量
1%
32°C
$698 交易量
<1%
33°C
$569 交易量
4%
34°C
$233 交易量
17%
35°C
$638 交易量
30%
36°C
$781 交易量
38%
37°C
$130 交易量
13%
38°C
$252 交易量
3%
39°C或更高
$248 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to afternoon highs of 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 10 under subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited steering flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show a narrow range around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where peaks often reach the mid-30s amid urban heat-island effects and weak monsoon influences. Market-implied odds reflect genuine model uncertainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or localized convection could tip the official maximum between adjacent brackets. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,173结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to afternoon highs of 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 10 under subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited steering flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show a narrow range around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where peaks often reach the mid-30s amid urban heat-island effects and weak monsoon influences. Market-implied odds reflect genuine model uncertainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or localized convection could tip the official maximum between adjacent brackets. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,173结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to afternoon highs of 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 10 under subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited steering flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show a narrow range around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where peaks often reach the mid-30s amid urban heat-island effects and weak monsoon influences. Market-implied odds reflect genuine model uncertainty, as minor shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or localized convection could tip the official maximum between adjacent brackets. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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