**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C. Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity. Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日广州气温最高？
8月10日广州气温最高？
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
6%
40°C或更高
2%
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
30°C或以下
$464 交易量
<1%
31°C
$471 交易量
<1%
32°C
$179 交易量
<1%
33℃
$115 交易量
1%
34°C
$3,106 交易量
1%
35°C
$63 交易量
5%
36°C
$77 交易量
24%
37°C
$139 交易量
45%
38°C
$63 交易量
24%
39°C
$68 交易量
6%
40°C或更高
$333 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C.
Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity.
Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$5,079结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C.
Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity.
Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,079结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C. Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity. Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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