Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on August 9 projects afternoon highs near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices above 105°F. This consensus places the daily maximum most likely in the 98–101°F range, where the two leading market bins together exceed 85% implied probability. Differentiation between 98–99°F and 100–101°F hinges on subtle variables including the precise timing of peak insolation, any thin cirrus reducing radiative heating, and boundary-layer mixing depth; ensemble spreads show roughly equal likelihood of a 1–2°F warmer or cooler realization. Historical August climatology supports these values, with typical highs of 96–99°F and rare excursions above 102°F absent strong high-pressure amplification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月9日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
最新
$10,535 交易量
最新
$10,535 交易量
2026-08-09
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
最新
$10,535 交易量
最新
$10,535 交易量
2026-08-09
93°F or below
$372 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,306 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,878 交易量
6%
98-99°F
$968 交易量
38%
100-101°F
$2,145 交易量
48%
102-103°F
$396 交易量
12%
104-105°F
$1,504 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$586 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$450 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$496 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on August 9 projects afternoon highs near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices above 105°F. This consensus places the daily maximum most likely in the 98–101°F range, where the two leading market bins together exceed 85% implied probability. Differentiation between 98–99°F and 100–101°F hinges on subtle variables including the precise timing of peak insolation, any thin cirrus reducing radiative heating, and boundary-layer mixing depth; ensemble spreads show roughly equal likelihood of a 1–2°F warmer or cooler realization. Historical August climatology supports these values, with typical highs of 96–99°F and rare excursions above 102°F absent strong high-pressure amplification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$10,535结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on August 9 projects afternoon highs near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices above 105°F. This consensus places the daily maximum most likely in the 98–101°F range, where the two leading market bins together exceed 85% implied probability. Differentiation between 98–99°F and 100–101°F hinges on subtle variables including the precise timing of peak insolation, any thin cirrus reducing radiative heating, and boundary-layer mixing depth; ensemble spreads show roughly equal likelihood of a 1–2°F warmer or cooler realization. Historical August climatology supports these values, with typical highs of 96–99°F and rare excursions above 102°F absent strong high-pressure amplification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,535结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on August 9 projects afternoon highs near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices above 105°F. This consensus places the daily maximum most likely in the 98–101°F range, where the two leading market bins together exceed 85% implied probability. Differentiation between 98–99°F and 100–101°F hinges on subtle variables including the precise timing of peak insolation, any thin cirrus reducing radiative heating, and boundary-layer mixing depth; ensemble spreads show roughly equal likelihood of a 1–2°F warmer or cooler realization. Historical August climatology supports these values, with typical highs of 96–99°F and rare excursions above 102°F absent strong high-pressure amplification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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