National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a Sunday high near 93°F in Houston, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 47% weighting on 92-93°F. Typical late-summer atmospheric conditions—high moisture, light southeasterly flow, and a 40% chance of afternoon convection—support this range while limiting upside potential, as scattered clouds and sea-breeze effects often cap peaks below the mid-90s. Recent guidance shows little day-to-day shift from earlier outlooks, aligning with climatological August averages near 94°F but tempered by ongoing thunderstorm risk that could further suppress readings. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the moderate precipitation odds and consistent model agreement ahead of the August 9 observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日休斯顿的最高温度?
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
88-89°F 5%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
5%
98°F或更高
1%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
88-89°F 5%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
5%
98°F或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a Sunday high near 93°F in Houston, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 47% weighting on 92-93°F. Typical late-summer atmospheric conditions—high moisture, light southeasterly flow, and a 40% chance of afternoon convection—support this range while limiting upside potential, as scattered clouds and sea-breeze effects often cap peaks below the mid-90s. Recent guidance shows little day-to-day shift from earlier outlooks, aligning with climatological August averages near 94°F but tempered by ongoing thunderstorm risk that could further suppress readings. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the moderate precipitation odds and consistent model agreement ahead of the August 9 observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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