Current forecasts and Shanghai's mid-August climatology, with typical overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon moisture, anchor trader consensus around 26–27°C for the August 11 minimum. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention normally limit cooling, while recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers through early August support modest suppression of radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with observed early-month readings near 26°C and explain why 28°C and higher outcomes carry lower implied odds, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could allow brief excursions outside this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日上海最低气温？
8月11日上海最低气温？
27°C 50%
26°C 32%
28°C 21%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
8%
25°C
11%
26°C
32%
27°C
50%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 32%
28°C 21%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
22°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5 交易量
7%
24°C
$0 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
11%
26°C
$0 交易量
32%
27°C
$18 交易量
50%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$4 交易量
2%
31°C
$5 交易量
6%
32°C或更高
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and Shanghai's mid-August climatology, with typical overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon moisture, anchor trader consensus around 26–27°C for the August 11 minimum. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention normally limit cooling, while recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers through early August support modest suppression of radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with observed early-month readings near 26°C and explain why 28°C and higher outcomes carry lower implied odds, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could allow brief excursions outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$52结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and Shanghai's mid-August climatology, with typical overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon moisture, anchor trader consensus around 26–27°C for the August 11 minimum. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention normally limit cooling, while recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers through early August support modest suppression of radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with observed early-month readings near 26°C and explain why 28°C and higher outcomes carry lower implied odds, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could allow brief excursions outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$52结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts and Shanghai's mid-August climatology, with typical overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon moisture, anchor trader consensus around 26–27°C for the August 11 minimum. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention normally limit cooling, while recent model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers through early August support modest suppression of radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with observed early-month readings near 26°C and explain why 28°C and higher outcomes carry lower implied odds, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could allow brief excursions outside this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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