Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日巴黎最低气温？
8月10日巴黎最低气温？
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
5%
17°C
17%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
5%
17°C
$40 交易量
17%
18°C
$39 交易量
37%
19°C
$37 交易量
33%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$34 交易量
5%
22°C
$44 交易量
3%
23°C
$212 交易量
1%
24°C
$165 交易量
1%
25°C
$27 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$34 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$632结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$632结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题