Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日旧金山气温最高？
8月9日旧金山气温最高？
75°F或以下 44%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
75°F或以下
44%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89华氏度
<1%
90-91华氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
75°F或以下 44%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
75°F或以下
$413 交易量
44%
76-77°F
$197 交易量
29%
78-79°F
$236 交易量
20%
80-81°F
$302 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$252 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$17 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$116 交易量
<1%
88-89华氏度
$120 交易量
<1%
90-91华氏度
$135 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$301 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,445结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,445结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCoastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题