Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected over Tokyo on August 11, supporting the current market-implied 34.5% probability on a 29°C high. Daytime maximums near this level align with climatological late-summer norms for the Kanto plain, though slight shifts in the subtropical ridge position or timing of frontal passage could push readings to 30–31°C or hold them at 28°C. High uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation under variable synoptic patterns, with traders weighting the latest short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日东京气温最高？
8月11日东京气温最高？
29°C 35%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
35%
30°C
20%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 35%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
23°C or below
$632 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,103 交易量
1%
25°C
$382 交易量
2%
26°C
$180 交易量
4%
27°C
$123 交易量
10%
28°C
$195 交易量
22%
29°C
$263 交易量
35%
30°C
$386 交易量
20%
31°C
$394 交易量
8%
32°C
$268 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$134 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected over Tokyo on August 11, supporting the current market-implied 34.5% probability on a 29°C high. Daytime maximums near this level align with climatological late-summer norms for the Kanto plain, though slight shifts in the subtropical ridge position or timing of frontal passage could push readings to 30–31°C or hold them at 28°C. High uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation under variable synoptic patterns, with traders weighting the latest short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,992结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected over Tokyo on August 11, supporting the current market-implied 34.5% probability on a 29°C high. Daytime maximums near this level align with climatological late-summer norms for the Kanto plain, though slight shifts in the subtropical ridge position or timing of frontal passage could push readings to 30–31°C or hold them at 28°C. High uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation under variable synoptic patterns, with traders weighting the latest short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,992结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected over Tokyo on August 11, supporting the current market-implied 34.5% probability on a 29°C high. Daytime maximums near this level align with climatological late-summer norms for the Kanto plain, though slight shifts in the subtropical ridge position or timing of frontal passage could push readings to 30–31°C or hold them at 28°C. High uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation under variable synoptic patterns, with traders weighting the latest short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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