Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日东京气温最高？
8月10日东京气温最高？
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
24°C or below
$472 交易量
<1%
25°C
$474 交易量
<1%
26°C
$154 交易量
<1%
27°C
$100 交易量
<1%
28°C
$299 交易量
2%
29°C
$207 交易量
7%
30°C
$91 交易量
24%
31°C
$183 交易量
36%
32°C
$427 交易量
24%
33°C
$341 交易量
10%
34°C or higher
$99 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,847结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,847结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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