Recent forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate afternoon highs near 78–80°F amid post-heat-wave cooling, with the marine layer and sea breeze capping peaks near the climatological normal of 76°F. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (66%) to the 76–77°F bin, followed by 78–79°F at 23.5%. Subtle differences in model timing for onshore flow and cloud cover create the split between leading outcomes. Historical analogs show the sea breeze typically limits coastal maxima in mid-August, while any delay in marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected later today may further refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月12日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77°F 65%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 2.6%
最新
$39,104 交易量
最新
$39,104 交易量
2026-08-12
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
65%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 65%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 2.6%
最新
$39,104 交易量
最新
$39,104 交易量
2026-08-12
67°F或以下
$1,501 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$932 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$842 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$2,745 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$4,760 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$8,548 交易量
65%
78-79°F
$10,165 交易量
24%
80-81°F
$2,588 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$3,897 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$2,522 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$628 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate afternoon highs near 78–80°F amid post-heat-wave cooling, with the marine layer and sea breeze capping peaks near the climatological normal of 76°F. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (66%) to the 76–77°F bin, followed by 78–79°F at 23.5%. Subtle differences in model timing for onshore flow and cloud cover create the split between leading outcomes. Historical analogs show the sea breeze typically limits coastal maxima in mid-August, while any delay in marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected later today may further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$39,104结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate afternoon highs near 78–80°F amid post-heat-wave cooling, with the marine layer and sea breeze capping peaks near the climatological normal of 76°F. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (66%) to the 76–77°F bin, followed by 78–79°F at 23.5%. Subtle differences in model timing for onshore flow and cloud cover create the split between leading outcomes. Historical analogs show the sea breeze typically limits coastal maxima in mid-August, while any delay in marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected later today may further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,104结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate afternoon highs near 78–80°F amid post-heat-wave cooling, with the marine layer and sea breeze capping peaks near the climatological normal of 76°F. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (66%) to the 76–77°F bin, followed by 78–79°F at 23.5%. Subtle differences in model timing for onshore flow and cloud cover create the split between leading outcomes. Historical analogs show the sea breeze typically limits coastal maxima in mid-August, while any delay in marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected later today may further refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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