**Drier-than-average conditions driven by a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole are positioning 32–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12.** Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore (via NEA) issued in late July projects daily maximums of 33–34 °C across most of the first half of August under fair, occasionally windy skies with reduced rainfall. This aligns with above-normal temperature outlooks for the Maritime Continent during the Southwest Monsoon period. Recent observations around August 8 showed peaks near 32 °C, while longer-range model ensembles (AccuWeather and others) indicate a typical August high near 31 °C but with an upward bias from suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (38.5 %) reflects trader incorporation of these subseasonal forecasts, historical analogs under similar ENSO/IOD phases, and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given Singapore’s equatorial maritime climate. Key upcoming data—updated NEA 4-day outlooks and any revised subseasonal temperature guidance—will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the upper end of the 32–34 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
32°C 54%
33°C 39%
34°C 6%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
54%
33°C
39%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 39%
34°C 6%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
$363 交易量
<1%
28°C
$12 交易量
<1%
29°C
$30 交易量
1%
30°C
$10 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
6%
32°C
$72 交易量
54%
33°C
$130 交易量
39%
34°C
$165 交易量
6%
35°C
$57 交易量
1%
36°C
$12 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Drier-than-average conditions driven by a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole are positioning 32–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12.**
Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore (via NEA) issued in late July projects daily maximums of 33–34 °C across most of the first half of August under fair, occasionally windy skies with reduced rainfall. This aligns with above-normal temperature outlooks for the Maritime Continent during the Southwest Monsoon period. Recent observations around August 8 showed peaks near 32 °C, while longer-range model ensembles (AccuWeather and others) indicate a typical August high near 31 °C but with an upward bias from suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating.
The market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (38.5 %) reflects trader incorporation of these subseasonal forecasts, historical analogs under similar ENSO/IOD phases, and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given Singapore’s equatorial maritime climate. Key upcoming data—updated NEA 4-day outlooks and any revised subseasonal temperature guidance—will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the upper end of the 32–34 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$861结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Drier-than-average conditions driven by a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole are positioning 32–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12.**
Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore (via NEA) issued in late July projects daily maximums of 33–34 °C across most of the first half of August under fair, occasionally windy skies with reduced rainfall. This aligns with above-normal temperature outlooks for the Maritime Continent during the Southwest Monsoon period. Recent observations around August 8 showed peaks near 32 °C, while longer-range model ensembles (AccuWeather and others) indicate a typical August high near 31 °C but with an upward bias from suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating.
The market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (38.5 %) reflects trader incorporation of these subseasonal forecasts, historical analogs under similar ENSO/IOD phases, and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given Singapore’s equatorial maritime climate. Key upcoming data—updated NEA 4-day outlooks and any revised subseasonal temperature guidance—will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the upper end of the 32–34 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$861结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Drier-than-average conditions driven by a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole are positioning 32–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12.** Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore (via NEA) issued in late July projects daily maximums of 33–34 °C across most of the first half of August under fair, occasionally windy skies with reduced rainfall. This aligns with above-normal temperature outlooks for the Maritime Continent during the Southwest Monsoon period. Recent observations around August 8 showed peaks near 32 °C, while longer-range model ensembles (AccuWeather and others) indicate a typical August high near 31 °C but with an upward bias from suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (38.5 %) reflects trader incorporation of these subseasonal forecasts, historical analogs under similar ENSO/IOD phases, and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given Singapore’s equatorial maritime climate. Key upcoming data—updated NEA 4-day outlooks and any revised subseasonal temperature guidance—will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the upper end of the 32–34 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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