Trader consensus around 33–34°C for Beijing's peak temperature on August 10 reflects tight ensemble spreads in current numerical weather prediction models, with modest probabilities for adjacent outcomes underscoring forecast uncertainty. Primary drivers include the strength and position of subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover expected under typical midsummer conditions, tempered by possible weak frontal influences or urban heat-island modulation. Recent model runs show small disagreements on exact timing of any moisture increase or wind shifts that could cap or boost maximums by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, but short-range verification from official monitoring will determine resolution within the narrow temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日北京气温最高？
8月10日北京气温最高？
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
20%
33°C
31%
34°C
27%
35°C
13%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
1%
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
28°C或以下
$866 交易量
1%
29°C
$132 交易量
1%
30°C
$90 交易量
3%
31°C
$86 交易量
7%
32°C
$101 交易量
20%
33°C
$136 交易量
31%
34°C
$140 交易量
27%
35°C
$193 交易量
13%
36°C
$303 交易量
7%
37°C
$82 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$132 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 33–34°C for Beijing's peak temperature on August 10 reflects tight ensemble spreads in current numerical weather prediction models, with modest probabilities for adjacent outcomes underscoring forecast uncertainty. Primary drivers include the strength and position of subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover expected under typical midsummer conditions, tempered by possible weak frontal influences or urban heat-island modulation. Recent model runs show small disagreements on exact timing of any moisture increase or wind shifts that could cap or boost maximums by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, but short-range verification from official monitoring will determine resolution within the narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,251结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 33–34°C for Beijing's peak temperature on August 10 reflects tight ensemble spreads in current numerical weather prediction models, with modest probabilities for adjacent outcomes underscoring forecast uncertainty. Primary drivers include the strength and position of subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover expected under typical midsummer conditions, tempered by possible weak frontal influences or urban heat-island modulation. Recent model runs show small disagreements on exact timing of any moisture increase or wind shifts that could cap or boost maximums by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, but short-range verification from official monitoring will determine resolution within the narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,251结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 33–34°C for Beijing's peak temperature on August 10 reflects tight ensemble spreads in current numerical weather prediction models, with modest probabilities for adjacent outcomes underscoring forecast uncertainty. Primary drivers include the strength and position of subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover expected under typical midsummer conditions, tempered by possible weak frontal influences or urban heat-island modulation. Recent model runs show small disagreements on exact timing of any moisture increase or wind shifts that could cap or boost maximums by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, but short-range verification from official monitoring will determine resolution within the narrow temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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