Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 14 will likely reach 32–33°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting further warming. Coastal sea breezes and the moderating influence of the eastern Mediterranean provide a buffer against stronger continental heat advection, consistent with climatological averages near 30–32°C. Recent stable model runs show no major heat-wave setup from Saharan or Arabian sources, keeping higher outcomes like 34°C or above at low implied probabilities. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these ranges if synoptic patterns shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
29°C or below 3%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
29°C or below 3%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 14 will likely reach 32–33°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting further warming. Coastal sea breezes and the moderating influence of the eastern Mediterranean provide a buffer against stronger continental heat advection, consistent with climatological averages near 30–32°C. Recent stable model runs show no major heat-wave setup from Saharan or Arabian sources, keeping higher outcomes like 34°C or above at low implied probabilities. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these ranges if synoptic patterns shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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