Short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 13 will most likely reach 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-August. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 31–32 °C during this period, with recent observational trends and ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability absent stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 34 % on 34 °C, aligns with these model outputs and the low likelihood of either anomalous heat advection or marine-layer cooling before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月13日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 57%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
57%
34°C
35%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
$649 交易量
<1%
30°C
$956 交易量
<1%
31°C
$528 交易量
1%
32°C
$813 交易量
7%
33°C
$1,775 交易量
57%
34°C
$1,311 交易量
35%
35°C
$509 交易量
4%
36°C
$627 交易量
1%
37°C
$515 交易量
<1%
38°C
$890 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$658 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 13 will most likely reach 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-August. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 31–32 °C during this period, with recent observational trends and ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability absent stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 34 % on 34 °C, aligns with these model outputs and the low likelihood of either anomalous heat advection or marine-layer cooling before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$9,232结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 13 will most likely reach 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-August. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 31–32 °C during this period, with recent observational trends and ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability absent stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 34 % on 34 °C, aligns with these model outputs and the low likelihood of either anomalous heat advection or marine-layer cooling before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,232结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 13 will most likely reach 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-August. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 31–32 °C during this period, with recent observational trends and ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability absent stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 34 % on 34 °C, aligns with these model outputs and the low likelihood of either anomalous heat advection or marine-layer cooling before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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