**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日特拉维夫气温最高?
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
37%
35°C
52%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
37%
35°C
52%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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