Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 11 likely reaching 33–35°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the Mediterranean summer. These values sit modestly above the long-term August climatological average high near 32°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected to limit cooling. Trader emphasis on the 35°C and 36°C outcomes reflects this model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak trough. Updated runs from global and regional models, plus the next IMS briefing, will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日特拉维夫气温最高?
35°C 47%
36°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 11%
31°C或以下
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
47%
36°C
34%
37°C
11%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 11%
31°C或以下
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
47%
36°C
34%
37°C
11%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 11 likely reaching 33–35°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the Mediterranean summer. These values sit modestly above the long-term August climatological average high near 32°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected to limit cooling. Trader emphasis on the 35°C and 36°C outcomes reflects this model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak trough. Updated runs from global and regional models, plus the next IMS briefing, will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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