Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日台北气温最高？
8月12日台北气温最高？
36°C 46%
37°C 25%
35°C 24%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C
24%
36°C
46%
37°C
25%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 46%
37°C 25%
35°C 24%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
$27 交易量
<1%
30°C
$37 交易量
<1%
31°C
$37 交易量
1%
32°C
$112 交易量
3%
33°C
$49 交易量
7%
34°C
$40 交易量
6%
35°C
$53 交易量
24%
36°C
$267 交易量
46%
37°C
$204 交易量
25%
38°C
$27 交易量
5%
39°C or higher
$60 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETPersistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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