Recent PAGASA outlooks point to a 30–32°C high in Metro Manila on August 10 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability that favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating. This keeps implied odds centered on 29–30°C, consistent with the seasonal average maximum near 31°C while monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms introduce downward bias versus clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for peak afternoon readings, though timing of convective activity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these official forecasts and climatological baselines as the primary drivers ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月10日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 37%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
37%
31°C
17%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
2%
30°C 37%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
24°C或以下
$397 交易量
<1%
25°C
$20 交易量
<1%
26°C
$35 交易量
1%
27°C
$13 交易量
3%
28°C
$19 交易量
13%
29°C
$233 交易量
32%
30°C
$221 交易量
37%
31°C
$45 交易量
17%
32°C
$22 交易量
6%
33°C
$22 交易量
2%
34°C或更高
$22 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks point to a 30–32°C high in Metro Manila on August 10 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability that favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating. This keeps implied odds centered on 29–30°C, consistent with the seasonal average maximum near 31°C while monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms introduce downward bias versus clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for peak afternoon readings, though timing of convective activity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these official forecasts and climatological baselines as the primary drivers ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,049结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks point to a 30–32°C high in Metro Manila on August 10 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability that favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating. This keeps implied odds centered on 29–30°C, consistent with the seasonal average maximum near 31°C while monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms introduce downward bias versus clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for peak afternoon readings, though timing of convective activity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these official forecasts and climatological baselines as the primary drivers ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,049结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA outlooks point to a 30–32°C high in Metro Manila on August 10 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability that favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating. This keeps implied odds centered on 29–30°C, consistent with the seasonal average maximum near 31°C while monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms introduce downward bias versus clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for peak afternoon readings, though timing of convective activity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these official forecasts and climatological baselines as the primary drivers ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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