Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds over Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 25–27°C as the consensus range. This aligns with trader positioning favoring 26°C at 53% implied probability, followed by 27°C, reflecting the current ensemble agreement on modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress highs. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, while the absence of heatwave signals in recent observational data keeps probabilities for 28°C or above below 6%. Updated model runs and official measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月14日的最高温度？
华沙8月14日的最高温度？
26°C 55%
27°C 29%
25℃ 13%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25℃
13%
26°C
55%
27°C
29%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 55%
27°C 29%
25℃ 13%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
$1,745 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,121 交易量
<1%
22°C
$288 交易量
1%
23°C
$311 交易量
1%
24°C
$173 交易量
3%
25℃
$590 交易量
13%
26°C
$1,928 交易量
55%
27°C
$222 交易量
29%
28°C
$117 交易量
5%
29°C
$41 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$121 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds over Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 25–27°C as the consensus range. This aligns with trader positioning favoring 26°C at 53% implied probability, followed by 27°C, reflecting the current ensemble agreement on modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress highs. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, while the absence of heatwave signals in recent observational data keeps probabilities for 28°C or above below 6%. Updated model runs and official measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,658结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds over Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 25–27°C as the consensus range. This aligns with trader positioning favoring 26°C at 53% implied probability, followed by 27°C, reflecting the current ensemble agreement on modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress highs. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, while the absence of heatwave signals in recent observational data keeps probabilities for 28°C or above below 6%. Updated model runs and official measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,658结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds over Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 25–27°C as the consensus range. This aligns with trader positioning favoring 26°C at 53% implied probability, followed by 27°C, reflecting the current ensemble agreement on modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover to suppress highs. Historical August averages around 23–24°C provide context, while the absence of heatwave signals in recent observational data keeps probabilities for 28°C or above below 6%. Updated model runs and official measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题