Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs and European models indicate Paris nighttime lows of 19–22°C on August 15, 2026, following a midweek heatwave peak near 38–41°C. This cooldown stems from increased cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and shifting northwesterly flow that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but the current pattern keeps readings near the upper end of that range, positioning 22°C or below as the dominant outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could support 23°C, while 24°C+ remains unlikely absent unexpected warming. Updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日巴黎最低气温？
8月15日巴黎最低气温？
22°C或以下 65%
23°C 32%
24°C 2.6%
25°C 1.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
65%
23°C
32%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
22°C或以下 65%
23°C 32%
24°C 2.6%
25°C 1.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
$471 交易量
65%
23°C
$371 交易量
32%
24°C
$147 交易量
3%
25°C
$64 交易量
1%
26°C
$23 交易量
1%
27°C
$23 交易量
1%
28°C
$23 交易量
1%
29°C
$28 交易量
<1%
30°C
$23 交易量
<1%
31°C
$133 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$18 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs and European models indicate Paris nighttime lows of 19–22°C on August 15, 2026, following a midweek heatwave peak near 38–41°C. This cooldown stems from increased cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and shifting northwesterly flow that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but the current pattern keeps readings near the upper end of that range, positioning 22°C or below as the dominant outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could support 23°C, while 24°C+ remains unlikely absent unexpected warming. Updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,324结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs and European models indicate Paris nighttime lows of 19–22°C on August 15, 2026, following a midweek heatwave peak near 38–41°C. This cooldown stems from increased cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and shifting northwesterly flow that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but the current pattern keeps readings near the upper end of that range, positioning 22°C or below as the dominant outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could support 23°C, while 24°C+ remains unlikely absent unexpected warming. Updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,324结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs and European models indicate Paris nighttime lows of 19–22°C on August 15, 2026, following a midweek heatwave peak near 38–41°C. This cooldown stems from increased cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and shifting northwesterly flow that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but the current pattern keeps readings near the upper end of that range, positioning 22°C or below as the dominant outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could support 23°C, while 24°C+ remains unlikely absent unexpected warming. Updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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