Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日上海气温最高？
8月13日上海气温最高？
30°C 40%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$397 交易量
<1%
25°C
$145 交易量
<1%
26°C
$209 交易量
1%
27°C
$635 交易量
3%
28°C
$1,021 交易量
13%
29°C
$1,813 交易量
33%
30°C
$655 交易量
40%
31°C
$831 交易量
16%
32°C
$220 交易量
3%
33°C
$155 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$169 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,250结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,250结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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