Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月13日的最高温度？
华沙8月13日的最高温度？
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
50%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
$108 交易量
<1%
21°C
$487 交易量
1%
22°C
$514 交易量
4%
23°C
$785 交易量
29%
24°C
$1,158 交易量
50%
25°C
$556 交易量
15%
26°C
$124 交易量
3%
27°C
$38 交易量
2%
28°C
$165 交易量
1%
29°C
$196 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,340结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,340结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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